Gold is currently trading at $1906.20 per Troy ounce. That’s where it was trading in late September. By the end of September, that price had fallen more than $100.00. But since then, the trading price has rebounded to its end-of-September level and now looks very strong. 

Where are gold prices headed?

Before we explore that question, let’s explore another question. What trends have influenced the prices of gold over the last decade?

Overall, the price of gold has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade, reflecting the complex and dynamic factors that influence the global economy and financial markets. As with any investment, it's important to do your research and consult with financial experts before making any decisions.

Gold is trading for $1,900.90 on the London Fix. Just to put that price in context, let us mention that the all-time historical high trading prices for gold is $1,920. We are in stratospheric territory.

What is driving up the price? It’s more than the traditional law of supply and demand (which of course is at work too). Most analysts agree that the immediate driver of these high prices is the trade conflict between the U.S. and China. If things continue the way they are going, the flow of gold into the U.S. from China should slow to a trickle.

As we write today’s post, we are in the midst of a near-epidemic of fear about the Coronavirus.

And this epidemic of fear is more troubling than earlier ones we remember, like the one that preceded the start of the year 2000. Why? Because unlike that false crisis, when conspiracy theorists were predicting that world currencies would crash, that airplanes would fall from the sky and that all the world’s computers would freeze, today’s crisis is based on bad things that are actually happening in the world.

There are lots of reasons to worry that the trading price of gold could fall. We can start by mentioning the trade wars and tariffs that have been introduced by the current administration in Washington. We could also mention escalating tensions between the US and a number of other nations, including friendly old Canada, which could restrict the flow of gold across borders.

Tariffs, Trade Wars, Shrinking Tech . . .What’s the best way to invest in scrap gold today?

We have to admit, we have never seen a period when it has been so difficult to pinpoint the biggest trends that will affect the prices of gold. In the past, there were periods of uncertainty when it was possible to consider just one trend, see how it was probably going to affect domestic gold prices, and formulate an investment strategy. You could say, for example, “Looks like trade relations with China are going to be rough for a while, there could be fewer gold crossing borders, so the price of gold that is already in the U.S. is probably going to rise.”

We found it at the bottom of a small bin of metal scrap that a client had sent to us for analysis. It was a little piece of gold-toned metal, about half an inch long. It was shaped like a barrel, with ribs running along it from end to end. We thought it was a bead, but it didn’t have a hole running through its middle - the kind of hole that would enable it to be used as part of a necklace. Our best guess was that it was part of a larger piece of jewelry - something that had fallen off a brooch or maybe even a tiara. There were no karat markings or other identifiers, so we figured it was made of base metal that had been covered with a thin plating of gold. But what the heck, we tested it and discovered that it was, in fact, made of 12-karat gold.

It seems likely that prices are trending up, and could continue to do so for months, or even for several years. If that is the case, what are your best gold investment strategies? If you believe that gold prices will continue to rise, here are two to consider…

Recently one of the greatest conspiracy theories in history was laid to rest when Donald J. Trump announced that Barack Obama really was born in the United States. Why was Mr. Trump empowered to settle the that particular question? We don’t know, but we do know that, with that conspiracy theory behind us, we are now free to turn our attention to other weird theories about precious metals. Here are some unusual beliefs about precious metals, with at least partial answers about whether they could be true.

For several years now, the most common comment we’ve been hearing about investing in gold has been, “Gold prices are so low… stay away from it as an investment.” That’s the common wisdom. It might be common. But it is wise? Not really.

Although we don’t know for certain where gold is headed, we do know one thing, which is that it’s a good idea to keep tabs on trading prices. And here’s an easy way to do it . . . Bookmark our home page and check it often, because we update and post current trading prices from the London Fix every day.

On Monday, July 20, 2015, the financial markets got a jolt when the trading price of gold in Asia suddenly plummeted to a five-year low. The impact was felt globally. Half the world away in London, the price fell 2% on news of the Asian price drop. One celebrity investment expert, CNBC’s Jim Cramer, got on air only hours later and advised people to buy gold at its low price, as a “hedge against inflation.” That’s traditional wisdom about buying gold and other precious metals – investors should buy and hold as a hedge against inflation. It’s good advice, but it makes us wonder why so few investment experts are recommending buying gold at low prices and then selling it when prices rise.

Gold makes different people smile for different reasons. It’s making Rouhani grin because he’ll use gold to cushion his country from recessions, depressions and other economic calamities. And do you know what? Gold can give you a similar level of security too.